In the week or so since the end of the quarter, the direction I was going to take this post changed as quickly as the Duke basketball team’s fortunes over the weekend.

“Stay the Course” Doesn’t Mean Ignore the Journey

March seems to be turning into a time of year when something out of our control makes it appropriate to check in and offer an investment perspective in light of...

Future Investment Returns are Always Uncertain

A little more than three years ago, I wrote There Are No Facts About the Future. It feels like I could change a few recent facts and repost that note. I’ll provide...

I mean it. You’ve done well in a challenging time for investors. Occasionally it's helpful to take a minute to acknowledge success and what led to it before getting back to work. And I think now is as good a time...

Welcome to the midpoint of 2024. I hope everyone had a great 4th of July holiday with family and friends.

Inflation is falling. The job market is growing. GDP growth is exceeding expectations. We’re actually earning interest on our cash and bonds. And corporate earnings growth is expected to accelerate this year.

I recently read an article in The Economist that discussed topics related to the current state of journalism. It contained a line that could also apply to market expectations – specifically when those expectations...

Interest rates on Treasury securities, money market funds, and savings accounts are at 15 to 20 year highs, hovering near 5%. With stocks now sitting 10% below their previous high from almost two years ago, the...

How’s the Market Doing? It Depends.         

A simple and innocent question greeted with the most unsatisfying and noncommittal answer possible. Sorry. But it’s true. It depends on the market in question – stocks, bonds,...

I hope everyone is having an enjoyable summer so far. I’ll do my best to keep it that way by making this update brief so you can return to your summer pastimes.

In my last post, I included Warren Buffet’s quote that investing should be simple but it’s not always easy. Diversifying investments among several different categories of stocks with different economic, financial,...

It has been about fifteen months since stock prices last peaked and nearly a year since entering Bear Market territory. After reaching a low in October, down 25%, the S&P 500 has recovered about half of this...